Thats the million dollar question????
Might be worth dropping it out to check the basic bits are all OK.
Just remove the tailshaft at the diff, disconnect the handbrake stuff if you have it, drain the oil, remove rear wheels and brake drums, undo rear axle bolts, pull the axles out, then unbolt the diff centre and take it out and put it on the bench. The piece is big enough to find where it came from, just have a good look and you will find if there is a problem.
It's about as easy as that.